Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh
Tract 42003565200 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,011 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 42003565200 covers part of the Manchester area of Pittsburgh, PA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,011. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Allegheny County average of 40.6%.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,496
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$62,283
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region
Centroid at 40.4574, -80.0237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,041 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 95%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
Against the Allegheny County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.8/10.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,041 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Pittsburgh commands.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3.1/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $62,283. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003565200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003565200?
Census tract 42003565200 in the Manchester neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003565200?
Median gross rent is $1,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003565200?
14.1% of residents in tract 42003565200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,011.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003565200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 18th, minority 79th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 42003565200 considered part of Manchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003565200 fall within Manchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42003565200 compare to Pittsburgh overall?
Tract 42003565200 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42003565200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh
Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Carrick
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Hills
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Homewood North
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Arlington
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bedford Dwellings
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Knoxville
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Homewood South
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side Flats
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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