South Oakland Eviction Risk: Elevated

Annualized rent equals 64% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs about three-quarters against 29.3% citywide, putting South Oakland 47.0% over its own city. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 56%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Average gross rent is $1,517, 20% above the Pittsburgh average of $1,261.

The voucher gap is 18.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 214 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 7.1% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 5.8% in 2006 against a 7.1% peak. Among the 78 mapped neighborhoods of Pittsburgh, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Central Oakland and Mexican War Streets Historic District score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.