Terrace Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

At $634 a month, rents sit 50% under what the rest of Pittsburgh commands. This is a renter market: 94% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side is economic stress at 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Court records for this tract carry 336 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2000, when filings touched 14.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 5.0% in 2006, is well off that peak. Among the 78 mapped neighborhoods of Pittsburgh, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.