Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Ambridge Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42007604200 · Beaver County, PA · pop 1,484
Tract 42007604200 sits in Ambridge, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 1,484 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units766
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$60,608
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ambridge and the region
Centroid at 40.5968, -80.2314 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ambridge scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ambridge
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,112 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ambridge
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ambridge
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ambridge
6.7
How Ambridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2005)
- 21Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 91% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ambridge
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Against Beaver County at 35.7%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Beaver County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 78 evictions over 4 years of observation.
At $1,112 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Ambridge commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $60,608. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42007604200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42007604200?
Census tract 42007604200 in Ambridge scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42007604200?
Median gross rent is $1,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42007604200?
16.3% of residents in tract 42007604200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,484.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42007604200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 39th, minority 30th, housing 43th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42007604200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42007604200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42007604200 compare to Ambridge overall?
Tract 42007604200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ambridge at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ambridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42007604200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ambridge
Top eight tracts in Ambridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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