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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Crestmont Farms Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42017100103 · Bucks County, PA · pop 2,397 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Eviction risk in the Crestmont Farms neighborhood of Bucks centers on tract 42017100103, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,397 residents. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.

66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,237 a month while the average household earns $64,970 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 13% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$64,970

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Crestmont Farms
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 147 tracts In Bucks County
High
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#2,150 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#58,384 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bucks County and the region

Centroid at 40.0683, -74.9722 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crestmont Farms scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Crestmont Farms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crestmont Farms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 100103County: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 503Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 15.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.7%Peak (2001)
  • 81Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420171001032000: 77 filings (15.49/100 renter HHs)2001: 88 filings (17.71/100 renter HHs)2002: 82 filings (16.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 65 filings (13.08/100 renter HHs)2004: 53 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2005: 57 filings (13.44/100 renter HHs)2006: 81 filings (19.10/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crestmont Farms

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Pennsylvania eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bucks County average of 5.4 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42017100103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017100103?

Census tract 42017100103 in the Crestmont Farms neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42017100103?

Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42017100103?

6.8% of residents in tract 42017100103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,397.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42017100103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 91th, minority 47th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 42017100103 considered part of Crestmont Farms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017100103 fall within Crestmont Farms (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017100103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 503 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017100103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.14% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Was tract 42017100103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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