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Neighborhood · Butler, PA

The Island Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,212 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 7.2–7.2

The Island maps to a single census tract in Butler, PA, population 3,212. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 45%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Butler rate of 30.7%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.7/10.

Court records for this tract carry 286 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 7.4% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $901, 10% above the Butler average of $818. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.1% in 2006 against a 7.4% peak.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $33,804. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Island vs Butler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.1% +99%
Butler: 30.7%
Average gross rent
$901 +10%
Butler: $818
Average HH income
$33,804 -19%
Butler: $41,705
Poverty rate
28.2% +23%
Butler: 22.9%
Renter share
64.8% +20%
Butler: 53.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Island and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.2–7.2

Why The Island scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts
9.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
28.2% below poverty line · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

The Island vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Island score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.2The IslandNeighborhood5.8Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Island

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42019902300 7.2 3,212 61% $901
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 42%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Island

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 286Total filings (sum)
  • 6.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak year (2003)
  • 7.07%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About The Island

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Island?

The Island scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Island compare to Butler overall?

The Island scores 1.4 points higher than Butler overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $901 vs $818.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Island?

Average gross rent in The Island is $901/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Island residents are renters?

65% of The Island households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Butler). The neighborhood has 3,212 residents.
Q5

Is The Island a high social-vulnerability area?

The Island sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Island for landlords?

The Island carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Butler as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Island?

The Island has 3,225 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.1%), Other / Multiracial (10.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Island

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Butler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Island.

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