Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , Butler
Tract 42019902500 · Butler County, PA · pop 3,928 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 42019902500 sits in the South Side area of Butler, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. It is home to 3,928 residents. It sits 3.0 points above the Butler County average of 4.2.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,623
Renter share48.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$41,370
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler and the region
Centroid at 40.8531, -79.8897 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Side scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butler
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$778 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler
7.7
How South Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 171Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2006)
- 46Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 119% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Side
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Butler County average of 35.7%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 171 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $778, close to the Butler average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42019902500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42019902500?
Census tract 42019902500 in the South Side neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42019902500?
Median gross rent is $778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42019902500?
20.7% of residents in tract 42019902500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,928.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42019902500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 83th, minority 12th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 42019902500 considered part of South Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42019902500 fall within South Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42019902500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 42019902500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.77% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42019902500 compare to Butler overall?
Tract 42019902500 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Butler at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler
Top eight tracts in Butler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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