Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , Butler
Tract 42019902500 · Butler County, PA · pop 3,928 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
How risky is the South Side neighborhood of Butler for landlords? Census tract 42019902500 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #27,658 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $778 monthly, set against $41,370 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,623
Renter share48.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$41,370
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler and the region
Centroid at 40.8531, -79.8897 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Side scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butler
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$778 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler
7.7
How South Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 171Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2006)
- 46Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 119% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Side
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Butler, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 4.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 171 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42019902500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42019902500?
Census tract 42019902500 in the South Side neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42019902500?
Median gross rent is $778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42019902500?
20.7% of residents in tract 42019902500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,928.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42019902500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 83th, minority 12th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 42019902500 considered part of South Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42019902500 fall within South Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42019902500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 42019902500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.77% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42019902500 compare to Butler overall?
Tract 42019902500 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Butler at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler
Top eight tracts in Butler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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