Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
East End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellefonte
Tract 42027011101 · Centre County, PA · pop 3,126 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 42027011101 in the East End area of Bellefonte, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$71,324
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellefonte and the region
Centroid at 40.9155, -77.7611 · click any tract to drill in
Why East End scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellefonte
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$880 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellefonte
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellefonte
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellefonte
5.9
How East End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East End
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against Centre County at 44.4%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. At $880 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Bellefonte commands. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $71,324, annual rent is just 15%.
It tracks the Centre County average of 4.5 closely. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42027011101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027011101?
Census tract 42027011101 in the East End neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42027011101?
Median gross rent is $880/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42027011101?
18.5% of residents in tract 42027011101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,126.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42027011101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 44th, minority 17th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42027011101 considered part of East End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027011101 fall within East End (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42027011101 compare to Bellefonte overall?
Tract 42027011101 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bellefonte at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellefonte; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellefonte
Top eight tracts in Bellefonte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related