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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Freys Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown

Tract 42043023900 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,598 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

42043023900 is a census tract in the Freys Grove area of Middletown, PA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 22% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,654
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$62,885

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Freys Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Middletown
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#838 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 40.2079, -76.7289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Freys Grove scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
5.7

How Freys Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Freys Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0239004.6Middletownparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 209Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 10.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak (2000)
  • 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42043023900
Filings dropped 49% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Freys Grove

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.4/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.0 points above the Dauphin County average of 4.6. Court records carry 209 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,367, 11% above the Middletown average.

Filings peaked in 2000 at 15.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043023900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043023900?

Census tract 42043023900 in the Freys Grove neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043023900?

Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043023900?

17.8% of residents in tract 42043023900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,598.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043023900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 14th, minority 39th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 42043023900 considered part of Freys Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043023900 fall within Freys Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043023900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 209 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043023900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.64% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043023900 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 42043023900 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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