Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Susquehanna Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Progress
Tract 42043021903 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,479 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up the Susquehanna Manor neighborhood of Progress, census tract 42043021903 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,619 a month against an average household income of $89,559 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,500
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$89,559
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Progress and the region
Centroid at 40.2997, -76.8602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Susquehanna Manor scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Progress
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,619 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Progress
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Progress
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Progress
4.5
How Susquehanna Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 630Total filings over 6 yrs
- 30.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 59.8%Peak (2002)
- 102Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 122% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Susquehanna Manor
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Progress, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 630 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 31.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 59.8% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021903?
Census tract 42043021903 in the Susquehanna Manor neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021903?
Median gross rent is $1,619/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021903?
6.0% of residents in tract 42043021903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,479.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 32th, minority 71th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021903 considered part of Susquehanna Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021903 fall within Susquehanna Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 630 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.99% of renter households, peaking at 59.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043021903 compare to Progress overall?
Tract 42043021903 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Progress at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Progress; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043021903 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Progress
Top eight tracts in Progress ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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