Fairfield-on-the-Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Northwest Harborcreek
Tract 42049011503 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,882 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 42049011503 covers part of the Fairfield-on-the-Lake area of Northwest Harborcreek, PA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,882 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Northwest Harborcreek and the region
Centroid at 42.1657, -80.0003 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairfield-on-the-Lake scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Fairfield-on-the-Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 23Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2003)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Fairfield-on-the-Lake
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 23 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3.1/10. Filings peaked in 2003 at 1.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $81,571, annual rent is just 13%.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42049011503
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011503?
What is the average rent in tract 42049011503?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011503?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011503?
Is tract 42049011503 considered part of Fairfield-on-the-Lake?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049011503?
How does tract 42049011503 compare to Northwest Harborcreek overall?
Was tract 42049011503 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Northwest Harborcreek
Top eight tracts in Northwest Harborcreek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.