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Neighborhood · New Castle, PA

East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,936 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

East Side is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in New Castle with 1 census tract and a population of 3,936 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 24% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 9% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $968/month sits 31% higher than the New Castle citywide average ($741).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
East Side vs New Castle How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.5% -27%
New Castle: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$968 +31%
New Castle: $741
Average HH income
$52,396 +26%
New Castle: $41,478
Poverty rate
16.2% -38%
New Castle: 26.1%
Renter share
30.6% -32%
New Castle: 45.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why East Side scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
16.2% below poverty line · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

East Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.East Side: 5.55.5East SideNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in East Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42073000800 5.5 3,936 23% $968
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Side

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings (sum)
  • 5.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak year (2006)
  • 5.80%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About East Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Side?

East Side scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Side compare to New Castle overall?

East Side scores 1.1 points higher than New Castle overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $968 vs $741.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Side?

Average gross rent in East Side is $968/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Side residents are renters?

31% of East Side households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in New Castle). The neighborhood has 3,936 residents.
Q5

Is East Side a high social-vulnerability area?

East Side sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is East Side for landlords?

East Side carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New Castle as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of East Side?

East Side has 4,176 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.7%), Other / Multiracial (10.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside New Castle

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Side.

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