Neighborhood · New Castle, PA

North Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 14,762 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 5.6–6.9

North Hill Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in New Castle with 6 census tracts and a population of 14,762 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $702/month sits 5% lower than the New Castle citywide average ($741).

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

6 tracts · population-weighted

North Hill Historic District vs New Castle How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.1% +69%

New Castle: 32.1%

Average gross rent

$702 -5%

New Castle: $741

Average HH income

$40,666 -2%

New Castle: $41,478

Poverty rate

28.1% +8%

New Castle: 26.1%

Renter share

47.1% +4%

New Castle: 45.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Hill Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 5.6–6.9

Why North Hill Historic District scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

47% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts

8.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Economic stress

28.1% below poverty line · Range 4.3–10.0 across tracts

6.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.9 across tracts

2.6

Risk score comparison

North Hill Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in North Hill Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.3 points from 5.6 to 6.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

6.9 6.8 6.4 6.0 6.0 5.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in North Hill Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42073000300	6.9	3,893	60%	$647
42073000400	6.8	1,693	50%	$340
42073000600	6.4	884	55%	$1,038
42073000200	6	2,121	50%	$738
42073000700	6	1,738	47%	$848
42073000100	5.6	4,433	56%	$747

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 82%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 69%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in North Hill Historic District

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,089Total filings (sum)
9.87%Avg annual filing rate
17.4%Peak year (2006)
12.12%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About North Hill Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for North Hill Historic District?

North Hill Historic District scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does North Hill Historic District compare to New Castle overall?

North Hill Historic District scores 1.8 points higher than New Castle overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $702 vs $741.

What is the average rent in North Hill Historic District?

Average gross rent in North Hill Historic District is $702/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of North Hill Historic District residents are renters?

47% of North Hill Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in New Castle). The neighborhood has 14,762 residents.

Is North Hill Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

North Hill Historic District sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in North Hill Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Hill Historic District is census tract 42073000300 (score 6.9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6.9, a spread of 1.3 points.

How safe is North Hill Historic District for landlords?

North Hill Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New Castle as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of North Hill Historic District?

North Hill Historic District has 14,439 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.6%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside New Castle

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Hill Historic District.

6.7 South Side 1 tracts · pop 1,660 5.7 Mahoningtown 1 tracts · pop 1,505 5.5 East Side 1 tracts · pop 3,936

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