Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Eighth Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown
Tract 42077005704 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,668 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 42077005704 belongs to the Eighth Ward area of Allentown, Pennsylvania. It is home to 3,668 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,466 monthly, set against $83,516 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$83,516
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Allentown and the region
Centroid at 40.6186, -75.4882 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eighth Ward scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
7.4
How Eighth Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 504Total filings over 7 yrs
- 12.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.8%Peak (2006)
- 106Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 159% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eighth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eighth Ward
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Allentown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 504 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 12.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.8% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077005704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077005704?
Census tract 42077005704 in the Eighth Ward neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077005704?
Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077005704?
5.4% of residents in tract 42077005704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077005704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 69th, minority 67th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 42077005704 considered part of Eighth Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077005704 fall within Eighth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077005704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 504 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077005704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.85% of renter households, peaking at 17.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077005704 compare to Allentown overall?
Tract 42077005704 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Allentown at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Allentown
Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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