Eighth Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Against Lehigh County at 45.1%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 504 evictions over 7 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 17.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Lehigh County average of 4.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.