East End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Williamsport

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.9 points above the Lycoming County average of 4.1.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 289 evictions over 7 years of observation. Cost burden runs 43% here against 38.9% across Lycoming County.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.