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Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Alfarata Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42087961200 · Mifflin County, PA · pop 2,972 · 6% of tract blocks fall in Alfarata

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 42087961200 in Alfarata, PA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,972 residents. Against Mifflin County at 34.8%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$57,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alfarata
Moderate
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 13 tracts In Mifflin County
Elevated
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#2,105 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alfarata and the region

Centroid at 40.6973, -77.4124 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alfarata scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alfarata
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alfarata
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alfarata
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alfarata
3.0

How Alfarata compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alfarata risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 9612003.1Alfarataparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2001)
  • 1Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42087961200
Filings dropped 75% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alfarata

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is tenant-organizing strength at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.6/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 5.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42087961200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42087961200?

Census tract 42087961200 in Alfarata scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42087961200?

20.3% of residents in tract 42087961200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,972.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42087961200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 30th, minority 2th, housing 14th.
Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42087961200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42087961200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.14% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5

How does tract 42087961200 compare to Alfarata overall?

Tract 42087961200 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Alfarata at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alfarata; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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