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Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Alfarata Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 42087961200 · Mifflin County, PA · pop 2,972 · 6% of tract blocks fall in Alfarata

Eviction risk in Alfarata in Mifflin County centers on tract 42087961200, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,972 residents. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 71% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $57,972 a year. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$57,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alfarata
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Mifflin County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#968 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
National
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#26,446 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alfarata and the region

Centroid at 40.6973, -77.4124 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alfarata scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alfarata
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alfarata
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alfarata
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alfarata
3.0

How Alfarata compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alfarata risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 961200Alfarata: 3.43.4Alfarataparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2001)
  • 1Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420879612002000: 4 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2001: 7 filings (5.29/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alfarata

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alfarata, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mifflin County average of 4.2 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.3% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42087961200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42087961200?

Census tract 42087961200 in Alfarata scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42087961200?

20.3% of residents in tract 42087961200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,972.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42087961200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 30th, minority 2th, housing 14th.
Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42087961200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42087961200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.14% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5

How does tract 42087961200 compare to Alfarata overall?

Tract 42087961200 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Alfarata at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alfarata; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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