Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Gouldsboro Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42089300308 · Monroe County, PA · pop 3,217 · 4% of tract blocks fall in Gouldsboro
Tract 42089300308 sits in Gouldsboro, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. The severe-burden share is 72%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,216
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate35.8%
Median income$64,274
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gouldsboro and the region
Centroid at 41.2180, -75.4238 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gouldsboro scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gouldsboro
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
35.8% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$2,077 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gouldsboro
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gouldsboro
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gouldsboro
3.0
How Gouldsboro compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gouldsboro
about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Monroe County average of 50.7%. At $2,077 a month, rents run 182% over what the rest of Gouldsboro commands.
The voucher gap is 33.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $64,274 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.4/10.
It sits 0.7 points above the Monroe County average of 4.0. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42089300308
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42089300308?
Census tract 42089300308 in Gouldsboro scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42089300308?
Median gross rent is $2,077/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42089300308?
35.8% of residents in tract 42089300308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,217.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42089300308?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 86th, minority 66th, housing 7th.
Q5
How does tract 42089300308 compare to Gouldsboro overall?
Tract 42089300308 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Gouldsboro at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gouldsboro; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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