Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42091201603 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 4,559 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Willow Grove
Census tract 42091201603 covers part of Willow Grove, PA, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,559 residents. Cost burden runs 7% here against 42.6% across Montgomery County.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,769
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$87,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Willow Grove and the region
Centroid at 40.1410, -75.1229 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Grove scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Willow Grove
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,355 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willow Grove
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willow Grove
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willow Grove
4.1
How Willow Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 120Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2000)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Grove
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,355, 23% below the Willow Grove average.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 120 filings here across 7 tracked years.
It sits 0.6 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.3. The worst year on record was 2000, when 11.6% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42091201603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091201603?
Census tract 42091201603 in Willow Grove scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42091201603?
Median gross rent is $1,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42091201603?
8.4% of residents in tract 42091201603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,559.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42091201603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 71th, minority 68th, housing 9th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091201603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 120 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42091201603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.77% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42091201603 compare to Willow Grove overall?
Tract 42091201603 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Willow Grove at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willow Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42091201603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Willow Grove
Top eight tracts in Willow Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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