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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Stemton Eviction Risk: Lower , Northampton

Tract 42095016202 · Northampton County, PA · pop 4,992 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Stemton area of Northampton anchors census tract 42095016202, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,208 monthly, set against $91,190 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share25.7%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$91,190

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Stemton
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Northampton
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#2,837 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northampton and the region

Centroid at 40.6813, -75.4824 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stemton scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northampton
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,208 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
5.4

How Stemton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stemton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 016202Northampton: 3.83.8Northamptonparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2006)
  • 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420950162022000: 8 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2001: 5 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2006: 16 filings (6.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stemton

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northampton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 71 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095016202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095016202?

Census tract 42095016202 in the Stemton neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095016202?

Median gross rent is $1,208/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095016202?

3.6% of residents in tract 42095016202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095016202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 68th, minority 22th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 42095016202 considered part of Stemton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095016202 fall within Stemton (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095016202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095016202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095016202 compare to Northampton overall?

Tract 42095016202 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Northampton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northampton

Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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