Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Carpenter Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101038600 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 1,395 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 42101038600 sits in the Carpenter area of Philadelphia eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 1,395. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units582
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$180,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0583, -75.2111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carpenter scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,156 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Carpenter compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 76%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2016)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 14Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carpenter
Average gross rent is $2,156, 54% above the Philadelphia average. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.
The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%.
Court records carry 5 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.8% of renter households.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101038600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101038600?
Census tract 42101038600 in the Carpenter neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101038600?
Median gross rent is $2,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101038600?
0.9% of residents in tract 42101038600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,395.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101038600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 67th, minority 47th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 42101038600 considered part of Carpenter?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101038600 fall within Carpenter (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101038600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42101038600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.97% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101038600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101038600 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101038600 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101038600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Elmwood Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Franklinville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Sharswood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Feltonville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Chopersville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Nicetown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Strawberry Mansion
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Cedar Grove
8
/ 10 · High
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