Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Holme Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101034702 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,475 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 42101034702 in the Holme Circle area of Philadelphia, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,475 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,395
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$85,298
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0570, -75.0283 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holme Circle scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,263 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Holme Circle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 170Total filings over 4 yrs
- 22.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.1%Peak (2011)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 101Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holme Circle
roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Philadelphia County average of 6.6.
The filing record is not thin: 170 evictions over 4 years of observation. At $1,263 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 28.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 22.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $85,298, annual rent is just 18%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101034702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101034702?
Census tract 42101034702 in the Holme Circle neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101034702?
Median gross rent is $1,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101034702?
5.2% of residents in tract 42101034702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101034702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 46th, minority 42th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 42101034702 considered part of Holme Circle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101034702 fall within Holme Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101034702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101034702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.35% of renter households, peaking at 28.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101034702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101034702 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101034702 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Elmwood Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Franklinville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Sharswood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Feltonville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Chopersville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Nicetown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Strawberry Mansion
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Cedar Grove
8
/ 10 · High
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