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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Nicetown Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

Tract 42101020102 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,543 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

42101020102 is a census tract in the Nicetown area of Philadelphia, PA. It scores 8/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 18% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate53.6%
Median income$33,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Nicetown
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 40.0111, -75.1546 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nicetown scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
53.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How Nicetown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nicetown risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0201026.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 264Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.5%Peak (2011)
  • 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42101020102
Filings dropped 25% over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 266Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nicetown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nicetown

The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $33,947 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 264 filings here across 4 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,250, 11% below the Philadelphia average.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 11.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101020102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101020102?

Census tract 42101020102 in the Nicetown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101020102?

Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101020102?

53.6% of residents in tract 42101020102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,543.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101020102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 90th, minority 98th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 42101020102 considered part of Nicetown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101020102 fall within Nicetown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101020102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 264 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101020102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.17% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 42101020102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 42101020102 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101020102 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 42101020102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 69% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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