University City Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

Annualized rent equals 113% of average household income of $31,635, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. At $2,979 a month, rents run 113% over what the rest of Philadelphia commands.

The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, supply constraint reads 10/10.

The voucher gap is 65.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.