Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Lightners Tract Eviction Risk: Moderate , North York
Tract 42133021223 · York County, PA · pop 3,152 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Lightners Tract neighborhood of North York is where census tract 42133021223 sits, home to 3,152 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #24,792 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,136 a month against an average household income of $61,675 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$61,675
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across North York and the region
Centroid at 39.9870, -76.7384 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lightners Tract scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,136 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from North York
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North York
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from North York
6.0
How Lightners Tract compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lightners Tract
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from North York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133021223
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133021223?
Census tract 42133021223 in the Lightners Tract neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133021223?
Median gross rent is $1,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133021223?
16.3% of residents in tract 42133021223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133021223?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 43th, minority 54th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 42133021223 considered part of Lightners Tract?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133021223 fall within Lightners Tract (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42133021223 compare to North York overall?
Tract 42133021223 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of North York at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42133021223 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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