Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Red Lion
Tract 42133023100 · York County, PA · pop 6,459 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 42133023100 sits in the Forest Hills area of Red Lion, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 6,459. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,683
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$63,672
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Red Lion and the region
Centroid at 39.8986, -76.6077 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Red Lion
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$863 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Red Lion
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Red Lion
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Red Lion
7.3
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 937Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2003)
- 139Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 83% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Against York County at 42.6%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. Court records carry 937 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
It sits 0.8 points above the York County average of 4.4. Filings peaked in 2003 at 17.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 13.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $63,672, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $863, close to the Red Lion average.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133023100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133023100?
Census tract 42133023100 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133023100?
Median gross rent is $863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133023100?
14.2% of residents in tract 42133023100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,459.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133023100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 51th, minority 22th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 42133023100 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133023100 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133023100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 937 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133023100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.23% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42133023100 compare to Red Lion overall?
Tract 42133023100 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Red Lion at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Red Lion; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Red Lion
Top eight tracts in Red Lion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related