Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Hollow Eviction Risk: Moderate , Central Falls
Tract 44007011200 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,462 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 44007011200 sits in the Happy Hollow area of Valley Falls eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 5,462. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,389
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$71,301
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.9069, -71.3892 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Hollow scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Falls
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Falls
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Falls
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Falls
4.5
How Happy Hollow compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 71Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2016)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Hollow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.9%Food insecurity
- 16.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Hollow
Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 71 evictions over 2 years of observation.
At $1,184 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Valley Falls commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007011200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007011200?
Census tract 44007011200 in the Happy Hollow neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007011200?
Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007011200?
6.9% of residents in tract 44007011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,462.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 75th, minority 46th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 44007011200 considered part of Happy Hollow?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007011200 fall within Happy Hollow (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007011200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007011200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007011200 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007011200 compare to Central Falls overall?
Tract 44007011200 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Central Falls at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007011200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Falls
Top eight tracts in Central Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related