Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Swan Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Bluffton
Tract 45013002103 · Beaufort County, SC · pop 10,622 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 45013002103 covers part of the Swan Lake area of Bluffton, SC, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The voucher gap is 45.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units4,011
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$107,440
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bluffton and the region
Centroid at 32.2527, -80.9631 · click any tract to drill in
Why Swan Lake scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bluffton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,655 rent vs county FMR
9.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bluffton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bluffton
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bluffton
5.1
How Swan Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 67Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2010)
- 18Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Swan Lake
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.1% across Beaufort County.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally.
At $2,655 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Bluffton commands. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 1.0 points below the Beaufort County average of 4.0. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 67 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 10.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45013002103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45013002103?
Census tract 45013002103 in the Swan Lake neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45013002103?
Median gross rent is $2,655/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45013002103?
3.9% of residents in tract 45013002103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,622.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45013002103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 20th, minority 35th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 45013002103 considered part of Swan Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45013002103 fall within Swan Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45013002103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45013002103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.05% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45013002103 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45013002103 compare to Bluffton overall?
Tract 45013002103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Bluffton at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bluffton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bluffton
Top eight tracts in Bluffton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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