The Gathering at Morris Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against a Charleston baseline of 32.7%, around two-thirds of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Average gross rent is $2,150, 25% above the Charleston average of $1,722.

The voucher gap is 18.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Court records for this tract carry 257 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 14.1% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 8.4% in 2015, is well off that peak.

One tract means one number: 4.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.