Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
The Vinings at Duncan Chapel Eviction Risk: Lower , Sans Souci
Tract 45045003804 · Greenville County, SC · pop 2,588 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Here is how census tract 45045003804, in The Vinings at Duncan Chapel in Sans Souci, looks to a landlord: a 6.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,588. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,131 a month against an average household income of $56,170 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,210
Renter share24.9%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$56,170
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sans Souci and the region
Centroid at 34.9095, -82.4439 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Vinings at Duncan Chapel scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sans Souci
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,131 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sans Souci
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sans Souci
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sans Souci
6.6
How The Vinings at Duncan Chapel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 343Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Greenville, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Vinings at Duncan Chapel
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sans Souci, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greenville County average of 5.6 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.40x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45045003804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45045003804?
Census tract 45045003804 in the The Vinings at Duncan Chapel neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45045003804?
Median gross rent is $1,131/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45045003804?
8.3% of residents in tract 45045003804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45045003804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 38th, minority 17th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 45045003804 considered part of The Vinings at Duncan Chapel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45045003804 fall within The Vinings at Duncan Chapel (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 45045003804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Greenville eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45045003804 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45045003804 compare to Sans Souci overall?
Tract 45045003804 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Sans Souci at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sans Souci; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sans Souci
Top eight tracts in Sans Souci ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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