Pine View Eviction Risk: Elevated

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 59% against 46.6% citywide, putting Pine View 11.9% over its own city. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 9.4/10.

The poverty rate is 34%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Disability prevalence reaches 43.9% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

19.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At $754 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Orangeburg commands.

Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Orangeburg, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.