Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 45079011417 · Richland County, SC · pop 9,241 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Winchester neighborhood of Richland centers on tract 45079011417, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 9,241 residents. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,003 monthly, set against $69,763 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units3,635
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$69,763
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richland County and the region
Centroid at 34.1486, -80.8993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
2.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,003 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,574Total filings over 5 yrs
- 35.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.9%Peak (2011)
- 249Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by South Carolina eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richland County average of 5.8 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,574 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 35.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.9% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 45079011417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45079011417?
Census tract 45079011417 in the Winchester neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45079011417?
Median gross rent is $2,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45079011417?
7.9% of residents in tract 45079011417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,241.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45079011417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 65th, minority 90th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 45079011417 considered part of Winchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45079011417 fall within Winchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45079011417?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,574 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45079011417 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.27% of renter households, peaking at 37.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45079011417 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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