Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Montevallo Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 01117030407 · Shelby County, AL · pop 2,453 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Montevallo
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 01117030407 in Montevallo, AL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units380
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$43,854
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montevallo and the region
Centroid at 33.1317, -86.8476 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montevallo scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montevallo
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montevallo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montevallo
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montevallo
7.2
How Montevallo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 60Total filings over 6 yrs
- 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2016)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 1,900% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 23.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montevallo
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Shelby County average of 40.0%. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10.
It sits 1.6 points above the Shelby County average of 3.8. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 60 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AL average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 01117030407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030407?
Census tract 01117030407 in Montevallo scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01117030407?
Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030407?
22.4% of residents in tract 01117030407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,453.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 2th, minority 49th, housing 63th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01117030407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 01117030407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 01117030407 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 01117030407 compare to Montevallo overall?
Tract 01117030407 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Montevallo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montevallo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montevallo
Top eight tracts in Montevallo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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