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Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Montevallo Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 01117030407 · Shelby County, AL · pop 2,453 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Montevallo

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 01117030407 in Montevallo ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,453 residents. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $919 monthly, set against $43,854 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 28% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units380
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$43,854

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Montevallo
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 55 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#395 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Elevated
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,554 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Montevallo and the region

Centroid at 33.1317, -86.8476 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montevallo scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Montevallo
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montevallo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montevallo
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montevallo
7.2

How Montevallo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montevallo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 030407Montevallo: 2.52.5Montevalloparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2016)
  • 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 011170304072001: 1 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 6 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (2.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (2.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 20 filings (5.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 1,900% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montevallo

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Montevallo, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01117030407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030407?

Census tract 01117030407 in Montevallo scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01117030407?

Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030407?

22.4% of residents in tract 01117030407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,453.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 2th, minority 49th, housing 63th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01117030407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 01117030407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 01117030407 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01117030407 compare to Montevallo overall?

Tract 01117030407 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Montevallo at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montevallo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Montevallo

Top eight tracts in Montevallo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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