Historic Downtown Northport Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.6/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 108 evictions over 6 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $67,741, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Tuscaloosa County average of 4.1 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.