Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Norris Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cottondale
Tract 01125010804 · Tuscaloosa County, AL · pop 2,858 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 01125010804 sits in the Norris Circle area of Cottondale, AL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 2,858. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,166
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate30.8%
Median income$54,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottondale and the region
Centroid at 33.1930, -87.4549 · click any tract to drill in
Why Norris Circle scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottondale
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
30.8% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$727 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottondale
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottondale
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottondale
9.2
How Norris Circle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 66Total filings over 6 yrs
- 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2016)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 19.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 41.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Norris Circle
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.2/10.
The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
At $727 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Cottondale commands. Against the Tuscaloosa County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The filing record is not thin: 66 evictions over 6 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 01125010804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01125010804?
Census tract 01125010804 in the Norris Circle neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01125010804?
Median gross rent is $727/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01125010804?
30.8% of residents in tract 01125010804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,858.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01125010804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 36th, minority 67th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 01125010804 considered part of Norris Circle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01125010804 fall within Norris Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01125010804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 66 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 01125010804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.46% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01125010804 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01125010804 compare to Cottondale overall?
Tract 01125010804 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Cottondale at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottondale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related