Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Manila Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05093010802 ·
Mississippi County, AR · pop 3,329 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Manila
Census tract 05093010802 belongs to Manila, Arkansas. It is home to 3,329 residents and scores 3.5/10, a lower reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 6% of US census tracts.
5% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $834 a month against an average household income of $65,103 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 36%Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,093
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$65,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Manila
Moderate
Within county
15th percentile
#12 of 14 tracts In Mississippi County
Very Low
Within state
33th percentile
#553 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
National
55th percentile
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manila and the region
Centroid at 35.8816, -90.1680 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manila scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manila
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.9
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$834 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manila
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manila
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manila
4.6
How Manila compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.5%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
9.5%Transit barriers
11.0%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
40.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manila
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manila, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Mississippi County average of 5.0 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 05093010802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05093010802?
Census tract 05093010802 in Manila scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05093010802?
Median gross rent is $834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05093010802?
14.1% of residents in tract 05093010802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,329.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05093010802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 50th, minority 2th, housing 55th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05093010802 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05093010802 compare to Manila overall?
Tract 05093010802 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Manila at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manila; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.