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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05143010112 · Washington County, AR · pop 2,414 · 18% of tract blocks fall in Goshen

05143010112 is a census tract in Goshen, AR. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,414 residents. Against Washington County at 36.0%, 3% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 12% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units981
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$89,561

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Goshen
Moderate
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 54 tracts In Washington County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#536 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 36.0353, -93.9829 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goshen scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goshen
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$992 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
3.5

How Goshen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goshen risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0101123.1Goshenparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goshen

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Washington County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $89,561, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $992, close to the Goshen average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010112

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010112?

Census tract 05143010112 in Goshen scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05143010112?

Median gross rent is $992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 3% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010112?

0.7% of residents in tract 05143010112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,414.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010112?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 52th, minority 13th, housing 7th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05143010112 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05143010112 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 05143010112 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Goshen at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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