Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Oakley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06013302011 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,915 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Oakley
Tract 06013302011 sits in Oakley, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,625
Renter share5.5%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$132,373
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakley and the region
Centroid at 37.9873, -121.6619 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakley scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakley
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakley
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakley
5.3
How Oakley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakley
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Average gross rent is $1,449, 26% below the Oakley average. It sits 1.4 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $132,373, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013302011
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013302011?
Census tract 06013302011 in Oakley scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013302011?
Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013302011?
6.4% of residents in tract 06013302011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,915.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013302011?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 13th, minority 81th, housing 14th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013302011 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013302011 compare to Oakley overall?
Tract 06013302011 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oakley at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakley
Top eight tracts in Oakley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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