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Census Tract · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Hercules Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06013359104 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 2,537

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06013359104 (Hercules, California) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,488 monthly, set against $111,833 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,292
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$111,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Hercules
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#144 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Moderate
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#8,057 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#53,267 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hercules and the region

Centroid at 38.0095, -122.2780 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hercules scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hercules
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,488 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hercules
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hercules
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hercules
5.8

How Hercules compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hercules risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 359104Hercules: 8.18.1Herculesparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hercules

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hercules, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and Asian and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013359104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013359104?

Census tract 06013359104 in Hercules scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013359104?

Median gross rent is $2,488/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013359104?

10.8% of residents in tract 06013359104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,537.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013359104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 43th, minority 86th, housing 24th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013359104 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013359104 compare to Hercules overall?

Tract 06013359104 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Hercules at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hercules; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hercules

Top eight tracts in Hercules ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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