Calwa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fresno

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.5% against 11.3% nationally.

The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,206, 15% below the Fresno average.

Against the Fresno County average of 6.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Fresno. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Fresno rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.