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Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Cressey Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06047000503 · Merced, CA · pop 2,802 · 7% of tract blocks fall in Cressey

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 06047000503 in Cressey ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,802 residents. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

21% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $984 a month against an average household income of $80,000 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 35% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units446
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$80,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cressey
Moderate
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 63 tracts In Merced
Very Low
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#4,126 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#14,316 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cressey and the region

Centroid at 37.4217, -120.5674 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cressey scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cressey
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$984 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cressey
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cressey
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cressey
4.5

How Cressey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cressey risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 000503Cressey: 7.97.9Cresseyparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cressey

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cressey, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Merced County average of 6.0 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047000503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000503?

Census tract 06047000503 in Cressey scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047000503?

Median gross rent is $984/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000503?

29.4% of residents in tract 06047000503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,802.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 76th, minority 78th, housing 94th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047000503 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047000503 compare to Cressey overall?

Tract 06047000503 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Cressey at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cressey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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