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Census Tract · Ranked #1,816 of 84,120 nationally

Atwater Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06047000601 · Merced, CA · pop 5,316 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Atwater

Eviction risk in Atwater centers on tract 06047000601, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,316 residents. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,104 a month while the average household earns $53,885 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 23% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,021
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate27.2%
Median income$53,885

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Atwater
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 63 tracts In Merced
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#789 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
National
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#1,816 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atwater and the region

Centroid at 37.3611, -120.6224 · click any tract to drill in

Why Atwater scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atwater
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
27.2% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,104 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atwater
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atwater
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atwater
7.5

How Atwater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Atwater risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 000601Atwater: 8.48.4Atwaterparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Atwater

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atwater, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Merced County average of 6.0 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047000601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000601?

Census tract 06047000601 in Atwater scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047000601?

Median gross rent is $1,104/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000601?

27.2% of residents in tract 06047000601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,316.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 73th, housing 65th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047000601 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047000601 compare to Atwater overall?

Tract 06047000601 scores 8.1/10, lower than the parent city of Atwater at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atwater

Top eight tracts in Atwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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