Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally
Atwater Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06047000602 · Merced, CA · pop 4,545
Atwater in Merced County anchors census tract 06047000602, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,151 monthly, set against $66,163 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,413
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$66,163
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atwater and the region
Centroid at 37.3565, -120.6034 · click any tract to drill in
Why Atwater scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atwater
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atwater
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atwater
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atwater
7.5
How Atwater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.7%Food insecurity
- 22.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 16.5%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Atwater
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atwater, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Merced County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06047000602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000602?
Census tract 06047000602 in Atwater scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06047000602?
Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000602?
19.9% of residents in tract 06047000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,545.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 98th, minority 81th, housing 66th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06047000602 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06047000602 compare to Atwater overall?
Tract 06047000602 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Atwater at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atwater
Top eight tracts in Atwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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