Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Los Patrones Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rancho Mission Viejo
Tract 06059032066 ·
Orange, CA · pop 7,773 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
06059032066 is a census tract in the Los Patrones area of Rancho Mission Viejo, CA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,773 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 7%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units3,262
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$178,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Los Patrones
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Rancho Mission Viejo
Moderate
Within county
6th percentile
#579 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
9th percentile
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rancho Mission Viejo and the region
Centroid at 33.5400, -117.5949 · click any tract to drill in
Why Los Patrones scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rancho Mission Viejo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,084 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rancho Mission Viejo
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rancho Mission Viejo
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rancho Mission Viejo
5.9
How Los Patrones compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
8%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
26%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.4%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
21.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Los Patrones
Against Orange County at 51.8%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
It sits 1.8 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally.
At $3,084 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Rancho Mission Viejo commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Rancho Mission Viejo as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059032066
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032066?
Census tract 06059032066 in the Los Patrones neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059032066?
Median gross rent is $3,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032066?
2.4% of residents in tract 06059032066 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032066?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 45th, minority 47th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 06059032066 considered part of Los Patrones?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032066 fall within Los Patrones (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059032066 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059032066 compare to Rancho Mission Viejo overall?
Tract 06059032066 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Rancho Mission Viejo at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rancho Mission Viejo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.