Census Tract · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Aliso Viejo Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06059042320 · Orange, CA · pop 6,100 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Aliso Viejo

With a score of 7.6/10, tract 06059042320 in Aliso Viejo, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 21% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units2,781

Renter share55.5%

SVI overall0.31

Poverty rate11.0%

Median income$93,403

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aliso Viejo and the region

Centroid at 33.5707, -117.7106 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aliso Viejo scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aliso Viejo

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.0% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$2,686 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aliso Viejo

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aliso Viejo

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aliso Viejo

5.3

How Aliso Viejo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

27%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.1%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.1%Food insecurity
11.3%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aliso Viejo

Against Orange County at 51.8%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $93,403, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,686, close to the Aliso Viejo average. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042320

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042320?

Census tract 06059042320 in Aliso Viejo scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059042320?

Median gross rent is $2,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042320?

11.0% of residents in tract 06059042320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,100.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042320?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 10th, minority 67th, housing 57th.

What share of households in tract 06059042320 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059042320 compare to Aliso Viejo overall?

Tract 06059042320 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Aliso Viejo at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aliso Viejo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aliso Viejo

Top eight tracts in Aliso Viejo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.