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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Castaways Eviction Risk: Moderate , Costa Mesa

Tract 06059063202 · Orange, CA · pop 3,653 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 06059063202 covers the Castaways neighborhood of Costa Mesa, home to 3,653 residents. For landlords it grades 5.6/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,390 a month while the average household earns $106,481 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 31% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$106,481

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Castaways
Very High
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 24 tracts In Costa Mesa
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#306 of 613 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#6,254 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Costa Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.6419, -117.9087 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castaways scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Costa Mesa
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,390 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Costa Mesa
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Costa Mesa
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Costa Mesa
5.9

How Castaways compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castaways risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 063202Costa Mesa: 7.77.7Costa Mesaparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castaways. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castaways

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Costa Mesa, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059063202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059063202?

Census tract 06059063202 in the Castaways neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059063202?

Median gross rent is $2,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059063202?

5.9% of residents in tract 06059063202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,653.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059063202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 48th, minority 37th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 06059063202 considered part of Castaways?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059063202 fall within Castaways (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059063202 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059063202 compare to Costa Mesa overall?

Tract 06059063202 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Costa Mesa at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Costa Mesa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Costa Mesa

Top eight tracts in Costa Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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