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Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Phelan Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06071009123 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 3,388

Census tract 06071009123 runs through Phelan. With 3,388 residents, it scores 6.8/10 for landlords. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 57% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,750 monthly, set against $79,024 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,007
Renter share8.0%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$79,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Phelan
Moderate
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#195 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#3,734 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phelan and the region

Centroid at 34.4520, -117.5383 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phelan scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phelan
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phelan
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phelan
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phelan
8.1

How Phelan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phelan risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 009123Phelan: 8.58.5Phelanparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phelan

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phelan, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009123

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009123?

Census tract 06071009123 in Phelan scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071009123?

Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009123?

13.5% of residents in tract 06071009123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,388.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009123?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 34th, minority 64th, housing 69th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071009123 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071009123 compare to Phelan overall?

Tract 06071009123 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Phelan at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phelan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phelan

Top eight tracts in Phelan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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