Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Hillsdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Cajon
Tract 06073015403 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,533 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 06073015403 sits in the Hillsdale area of Casa de Oro-Mount Helix, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 2,533 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units853
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$156,635
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7707, -116.9502 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillsdale scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,281 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
4.7
How Hillsdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hillsdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillsdale
Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.8 points. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. At $2,281 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Casa de Oro-Mount Helix commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $156,635, annual rent is just 17%.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073015403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015403?
Census tract 06073015403 in the Hillsdale neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073015403?
Median gross rent is $2,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015403?
2.4% of residents in tract 06073015403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,533.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 20th, minority 36th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 06073015403 considered part of Hillsdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015403 fall within Hillsdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073015403 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073015403 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073015403 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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