Santa Paula Eviction Risk: High

Food insecurity runs 39.6% against 17.8% nationally. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.5 points above the Ventura County average of 6.9. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,451, 16% below the Santa Paula average.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $54,950.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.