Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Cottonwood Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Wellington
Tract 08069002508 · Larimer County, CO · pop 9,261 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 2.3/10, tract 08069002508 in the Cottonwood Shores neighborhood of Wellington ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 9,261 residents. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,275 a month while the average household earns $107,215 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units3,112
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$107,215
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wellington and the region
Centroid at 40.6734, -104.9956 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottonwood Shores scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wellington
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,275 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wellington
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wellington
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wellington
4.6
How Cottonwood Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottonwood Shores
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wellington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Larimer County average of 5.4 and below the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 08069002508
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069002508?
Census tract 08069002508 in the Cottonwood Shores neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08069002508?
Median gross rent is $2,275/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08069002508?
9.1% of residents in tract 08069002508 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,261.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08069002508?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 13th, minority 28th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 08069002508 considered part of Cottonwood Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069002508 fall within Cottonwood Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 08069002508 compare to Wellington overall?
Tract 08069002508 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Wellington at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wellington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wellington
Top eight tracts in Wellington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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