Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cardiff Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003011202 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,046 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
10003011202 is a census tract in the Cardiff area of New Castle County, DE. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$111,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle County and the region
Centroid at 39.8322, -75.5212 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cardiff scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Cardiff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 180Total filings over 9 yrs
- 39.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 58.8%Peak (2011)
- 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 26Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cardiff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cardiff
Against New Castle County at 44.1%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the New Castle County average of 4.2.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 180 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2011, when 58.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 39.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $111,607, annual rent is just 15%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003011202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003011202?
Census tract 10003011202 in the Cardiff neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003011202?
Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003011202?
1.4% of residents in tract 10003011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,046.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003011202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 61th, minority 32th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 10003011202 considered part of Cardiff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003011202 fall within Cardiff (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003011202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003011202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.94% of renter households, peaking at 58.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003011202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003011202 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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