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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Cardiff Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 10003011202 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,046 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

How risky is Cardiff in New Castle for landlords? Census tract 10003011202 scores 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,417 a month while the average household earns $111,607 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$111,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cardiff
Very High
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#112 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#215 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very Low
National
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Castle County and the region

Centroid at 39.8322, -75.5212 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cardiff scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Cardiff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cardiff risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 011202County: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 180Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 39.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 58.8%Peak (2011)
  • 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030112022010: 15 filings (19.74/100 renter HHs)2011: 30 filings (58.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (47.06/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (41.18/100 renter HHs)2014: 17 filings (33.33/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (21.57/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (53.33/100 renter HHs)2017: 19 filings (42.22/100 renter HHs)2018: 19 filings (42.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 26Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cardiff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cardiff

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Delaware eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003011202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003011202?

Census tract 10003011202 in the Cardiff neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003011202?

Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003011202?

1.4% of residents in tract 10003011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,046.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003011202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 61th, minority 32th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 10003011202 considered part of Cardiff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003011202 fall within Cardiff (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003011202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003011202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.94% of renter households, peaking at 58.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003011202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003011202 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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