Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Cardiff Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003011202 ·
New Castle County, DE · pop 4,046 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
How risky is Cardiff in New Castle for landlords? Census tract 10003011202 scores 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,417 a month while the average household earns $111,607 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 2%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$111,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Cardiff
Very High
Within county
22th percentile
#112 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Low
Within state
17th percentile
#215 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very Low
National
14th percentile
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle County and the region
Centroid at 39.8322, -75.5212 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cardiff scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Cardiff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
180Total filings over 9 yrs
39.94%Avg annual filing rate
58.8%Peak (2011)
19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2010 to 2018
Filings climbed 27% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
26Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly (observed)
0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.41×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.4%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cardiff
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Delaware eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003011202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003011202?
Census tract 10003011202 in the Cardiff neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003011202?
Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003011202?
1.4% of residents in tract 10003011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,046.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003011202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 61th, minority 32th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 10003011202 considered part of Cardiff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003011202 fall within Cardiff (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003011202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003011202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.94% of renter households, peaking at 58.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003011202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003011202 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.